Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 2.103888 2.397826 2.717667 3.091508 3.516488 3.984605 4.539437
2025-09-21 1.615316 2.007796 2.472435 3.062981 3.793724 4.668617 5.796395
2025-09-28 1.334378 1.760853 2.295946 3.016466 3.961650 5.160069 6.796738
2025-10-05 1.233114 1.709046 2.335315 3.219477 4.436137 6.052871 8.367699
2025-10-12 1.096514 1.586033 2.257429 3.245150 4.662019 6.623149 9.548824
2025-10-19 1.014102 1.523967 2.249666 3.357330 5.006424 7.373658 11.037186
2025-10-26 0.909873 1.416086 2.161469 3.338231 5.150870 7.841092 12.146740
2025-11-02 0.824372 1.325386 2.086705 3.326831 5.298293 8.316011 13.298486
2025-11-09 0.739603 1.225901 1.986994 3.263673 5.354159 8.648016 14.247351
2025-11-16 0.687832 1.173289 1.954470 3.301551 5.569552 9.241716 15.657752
2025-11-23 0.642728 1.126643 1.926157 3.341484 5.788145 9.853192 17.142915
2025-11-30 0.592667 1.066320 1.868856 3.325594 5.908184 10.306196 18.391493
2025-12-07 0.534744 0.990537 1.784869 3.267665 5.971569 10.704691 19.650869
2025-12-14 0.486542 0.927921 1.719126 3.238076 6.087113 11.213519 21.175758
2025-12-21 0.441591 0.866015 1.647615 3.188890 6.158764 11.645052 22.593181
2025-12-28 0.436089 0.878229 1.713597 3.403446 6.744113 13.071636 26.020818
2026-01-04 0.407666 0.842410 1.684490 3.430578 6.969275 13.836347 28.237372
2026-01-11 0.392314 0.830998 1.701250 3.549136 7.384557 15.002633 31.357740
2026-01-18 0.363532 0.788824 1.652371 3.528951 7.515479 15.615072 33.405560
2026-01-25 0.338343 0.751547 1.609700 3.516903 7.660798 16.267024 35.593439
2026-02-01 0.310513 0.705648 1.544529 3.450155 7.682537 16.662582 37.268095
2026-02-08 0.294480 0.684161 1.529279 3.490186 7.938885 17.575297 40.153182
2026-02-15 0.279866 0.664367 1.515742 3.532389 8.203263 18.526974 43.211899